By AARON M. ALTSCHUL and HAROLD L. WILCKE (Eds.)
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Extra resources for Animal Protein Supplies
Take corn yields as an example. It is true that in the 12 decades for which there are yield records, there were six cases of poor corn yields occurring in the year " 4 " of "a decade—1874, 1894, 1924, 1934, 1954, and 1974—but a 20-year interval between 1874 and 1894, a 30-year interval between 1894 and 1924, a 10-year 40 Louis H. Bean interval between 1924 and 1934, and 20-year intervals between 1934, 1954, and 1974. Will the next poor year hit corn in 1984, or 1994, or 2004? This record does not provide "scientific" certainty.
Examining this subject about 30 years ago, at the time of emerging United Nations' interest in establishing an International Food and Agricultural authority (Bean, 1946), we found that the difference between the per capita incomes of countries bore a direct relation to the difference between their states of agriculturalization. For example, a country with 60% of its labor force in agriculture had twice the per capita income of a comparable country with 80% engaged in agriculture; a country with 40% in agriculture had a per capita income twice that //.
But these are also the most uncertain. //. Food and People 39 At the 1974 World Food Conference most interest was expressed in meeting the uncertainties of adverse weather effects on crop production by means of a world food reserve, primarily to guarantee importing countries continuous supplies at relatively stable prices. There was some discussion of short-, middle-, and long-range problems in regularizing production for domestic and foreign demand. But in each of these problems the most uncertain factor was and is, obviously, the weather.
Animal Protein Supplies by AARON M. ALTSCHUL and HAROLD L. WILCKE (Eds.)